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Simulation of alpine wetlands CO2 flux and its influencing factors based on BP neural network optimized by genetic algorithm in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
- CAO Jia-xi, WANG Xin, LEI Guang-chun
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JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY(NATURAL SCIENCE). 2021, 56(5):
33-41.
doi:10.6040/j.issn.1671-9352.0.2021.141
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A three-layer BP neural network was constructed to simulate CO2 emission flux of wetlands ecosystem by using latent heat flux, sensible heat flux, air temperature, total radiation, effective radiation, soil temperature and soil volume water content. After determining the topological structure of BP neural network, the optimal initial threshold and weight of BP neural network training are obtained by genetic algorithm. The established BP neural network is trained and verified by normalizing 2 190 sets of measured CO2 fluxes and corresponding training data in wetlands ecosystem in Haibei alpine wetlands of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The validation results show that the regression coefficients of training group, validation group and test group are 0.942, 0.935 and 0.938, respectively. The overall regression coefficient is 0.941, the root mean square error between simulated and measured values is 0.92%, and the simulated CO2 flux in wetlands ecosystem is 1.207-13.767 g/(m2·d), with an average value of 6.008 g/(m2·d). Correlation analysis shows that the correlation coefficient r between CO2 flux and input neurons in alpine wetlands ecosystem is: soil temperature(0.77)> air temperature(0.72)> soil volume water content(0.39)> latent heat flux(0.30)> sensible heat flux(0.29)> total radiation(0.09)> effective radiation(0.02)(P<0.01). The dominant factors of CO2 flux in alpine wetlands ecosystem are soil temperature and air temperature, and the weights of these two factors should be increased in the subsequent modeling work.