农户生计转型对生态系统服务依赖度的非线性影响——以矿农复合区为例

doi:10.6040/j.issn.1671-9352.0.2025.374

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 生计转型对生态系统服务依赖度(dependence intensity on ecosystem services, DIES)的影响是理解人地关系演变的关键议题,但现有研究对其非线性效应关注不足。本文以黄河流域中游3个矿农复合区农户为研究对象,将农户划分为“未转型组”“农业为主型转型组”“非农为主型转型组”,采用随机森林模型分析生计转型对DIES的非线性影响。研究发现:(1)转型组农户DIES(0.378±0.134)显著高于未转型组(0.348±0.127),但转型组内部两类农户DIES差异不显著;(2)生计转型增强了耕地面积、家到城镇距离、家庭抚养比、劳动能力及参与集体活动频率对DIES的影响强度;(3)家到矿区距离、教育水平和健康状况与DIES的关系在转型组与未转型组间呈现异质性变化趋势,其中转型组农户家到矿区距离与DIES呈“V”形关系,教育水平的影响存在“高中阈值”效应。研究表明,生计转型并非必然降低农户对生态系统服务的依赖,矿农复合区的特殊产业环境使得转型农户反而面临更高的生态依赖风险。本研究为差异化生态补偿政策制定提供科学依据。

关键词: 生态系统服务依赖度(DIES), 生计转型, 随机森林模型, 矿农复合区, 非线性影响

Abstract: The effect of livelihood transformation on dependence intensity on ecosystem services(DIES)has emerged as a core issue in understanding human-land system evolution, while existing literature has overlooked its nonlinear characteristics. This study selected farmers from three mineral-agricultural composite areas in the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin as samples, and categorized their farm household livelihood status into non-transformed, agriculture-dominated transformed, and non-agriculture-dominated transformed groups. A random forest model was employed to explore the nonlinear effect of livelihood transformation on DIES. The results showed that:(1)The transformed group had a significantly higher DIES value(0.378±0.134)than the non-transformed group(0.348±0.127), whereas no significant difference existed within the transformed subgroups;(2)Livelihood transformation enhanced the influencing intensity of cultivated land area, residential distance to town, family dependency ratio, labor capacity and participation frequency in collective activities on DIES;(3)The relationships of residential distance to mining area, educational attainment and health status with DIES exhibited obvious heterogeneity between the two groups. Specifically, residential distance to mining area showed a V-shaped correlation with DIES for transformed farmers, and educational attainment presented a senior high school threshold effect. This paper revealed that livelihood transformation did not inevitably reduce farmers reliance on ecosystem services. Affected by the distinctive industrial context of mineral-agricultural composite areas, transformed farmers suffered a higher risk of ecological dependence. This study provides a scientific basis for the formulation of differentiated ecological compensation policies.

Key words: dependence intensity on ecosystem services(DIES), livelihood transformation, random forest model, mining agricultural complex area, nonlinear influence

中图分类号:

贾瑞萱,史兴民,樊怡. 农户生计转型对生态系统服务依赖度的非线性影响——以矿农复合区为例[J]. 《山东大学学报(理学版)》, 2026, 61(10): 46-58.

JIA Ruixuan, SHI Xingmin, FAN Yi. Nonlinear impact of farmers livelihood transformation on their dependence on ecosystem services: a case study of mining agricultural complex areas[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY(NATURAL SCIENCE), 2026, 61(10): 46-58.

参考文献

[1] Wang X Q, Zhao X Y. Farmers perception and choice preference of grassland ecosystem services: evidence from the northeastern region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. Land Use Policy, 2023, 132: 106768.
[2] Yang W, Dietz T, Kramer D B, et al. Going beyond the millennium ecosystem assessment: an index system of human well-being[J]. PLoS One, 2013, 8(5): e64582.
[3] 刘迪, 陈海, 马羽赫, 等. 乡村振兴视角下农户生态系统服务依赖度及多层次影响因素[J]. 生态学报, 2023, 43(8): 3079-3089. Liu Di, Chen Hai, Ma Yuhe, et al. Farmers dependence on ecosystem services and its multi-level influencing factors from the perspective of rural revitalization[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2023, 43(8): 3079-3089.
[4] 张超正, 杨钢桥, 文高辉. 不同农地整治模式对农户生态系统服务依赖度的影响[J]. 农业工程学报, 2019, 35(6): 261-270. Zhang Chaozheng, Yang Gangqiao, Wen Gaohui. Impact of different rural land consolidation modes on farmers dependence on ecosystem services[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2019, 35(6): 261-270.
[5] 李聪, 康博纬, 李萍, 等. 易地移民搬迁对农户生态系统服务依赖度的影响:来自陕南的证据[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2017, 27(11): 115-123. Li Cong, Kang Bowei, Li Ping, et al. Impacts of relocation and settlement program on rural households dependence on ecosystem: evidence from South Shaanxi Province[J]. China Population Resources and Environment, 2017, 27(11):115-123.
[6] Huq N, Pedroso R, Bruns A, et al. Changing dynamics of livelihood dependence on ecosystem services at temporal and spatial scales: an assessment in the southern wetland areas of Bangladesh[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2020, 110: 105855.
[7] 张超正, 陈丹玲, 杨钢桥, 等. 生计资本对农户生态系统服务依赖度的影响[J]. 西南大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 43(1): 142-152. Zhang Chaozheng, Chen Danling, Yang Gangqiao, et al. Impact of livelihood capital on farmers dependence on ecosystem services[J]. Journal of Southwest University: Natural Science Edition, 2021, 43(1): 142-152.
[8] 李淑娟, 穆淑慧, 隋玉正, 等. 海洋保护地社区多元化生计与生态系统服务的依赖关系[J]. 生态学报, 2024, 44(8): 3157-3171. Li Shujuan, Mu Shuhui, Sui Yuzheng, et al. The dependence of diversified community livelihood on ecosystem services of marine nature reserve[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2024, 44(8): 3157-3171.
[9] 杨斌, 马晓涵, 宋小青, 等. 煤炭资源枯竭区不同模式村庄整治对农户生计适应性选择的影响: 以苏北、鲁南地区典型村庄为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2025, 40(2):534-549. Yang Bin, Ma Xiaohan, Song Xiaoqing, et al. The impact of different modes of village consolidation on the adaptive choice of household livelihood in coal resource-exhausted areas: a case study of typical villages in Northern Jiangsu and Southern Shandong of China[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2025, 40(2): 534-549.
[10] 田国双, 齐英南, 邹玉友. 生计资本如何影响森林生态系统服务依赖度? 基于东北国有林区职工微观数据的实证研究[J]. 科学决策, 2023(2): 142-158. Tian Guoshuang, Qi Yingnan, Zou Yuyou. How does livelihood capital affect forest ecosystem service dependence? An empirical study based on micro data of workers in northeast state-owned forest areas[J]. Scientific Decision-Making, 2023(2): 142-158.
[11] 张成虎, 刘菊, 苏宏新, 等. 自然保护区农户生态系统服务依赖度及其影响因素:基于形成型指标的结构方程模型分析[J]. 生态学报, 2024, 44(17): 7417-7430. Zhang Chenghu, Liu Ju, Su Hongxin, et al. Farmers dependency index of ecosystem services and influencing factors in nature reserves based on the structural equation model with formative indicators[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2024, 44(17): 7417-7430.
[12] Singh N, Punia M, Singh K. Ecosystem services and livelihoods in the peri-urban national capital region, India: an exploratory case study[J]. Human Ecology, 2025, 53(3): 501-524.
[13] 冯晓, 史兴民, 赵振斌. 地理标志农产品对农户生计脆弱性和福祉的影响: 以黄河流域旱塬区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2024, 43(10): 2702-2720. Feng Xiao, Shi Xingmin, Zhao Zhenbin. Impact of geographical indication agricultural products on farmers livelihood vulnerability and well-being: a case study of the dryland plateau of the Yellow River Basin[J]. Geographical Research, 2024, 43(10): 2702-2720.
[14] 丘水林, 蔡雪雄. 生态补偿政策差异如何影响生态保护红线区农户生计策略[J]. 深圳大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2025, 42(3): 68-76. Qiu Shuilin, Cai Xuexiong. The impact of eco-compensation policies differences on the farmers livelihood strategies in ecolo-gical protection red line areas[J]. Journal of Shenzhen University(Humanities & Social Sciences), 2025, 42(3): 68-76.
[15] 李淑娟, 穆淑慧, 隋玉正, 等. 海洋保护地社区多元化生计与生态系统服务的依赖关系[J]. 生态学报, 2024, 44(8): 3157-3171. Li Shujuan, Mu Shuhui, Sui Yuzheng, et al. The dependence of diversified community livelihood on ecosystem services of marine nature reserve[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2024, 44(8): 3157-3171.
[16] Shi X M. Research progress in public perception and adaption behavior of climate change[J]. Bull Soil Water Conserv, 2016, 36(6): 258-264, 271.
[17] Wang F, Shi X M, Fan Y. Factors influencing the relationship between perceptions of ecosystem services and well-being of farmers in the ore-agriculture zone, China[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2024, 166: 112350.
[18] Li X P, Shi X M, Qin Y H. Exploring the effects of farmland transfer on farm household well-being: evidence from ore-agriculture compound areas in Northwest China[J]. Land, 2024, 13(12): 2042.
[19] Gong J, Qiu Y Y, Zhang Q, et al. The role of ecosystem services in shaping rural livelihood resilience in China: a comparative study between ecological and non-ecological functional zones[J]. Land Degradation & Development, 2025: 1085-3278.
[20] 陈基豪, 张闻笛, 苏钊贤, 等. 基于社会-生态系统理论的水库移民生计转型影响因素研究[J]. 水利水电技术(中英文), 2025, 56(9): 248-259. Chen Jihao, Zhang Wendi, Su Zhaoxian, et al. Influencing factors of livelihood transformation among reservoir resettlers based on social-ecological systems theory[J]. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, 2025, 56(9): 248-259.
[21] 焦娜. 新型城镇化建设与农户生计可持续研究[J]. 华南农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2025, 24(2):63-80. Jiao Na. New urbanization and sustainable development of rural residents livelihoods[J]. Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition), 2025, 24(2): 63-80.
[22] 韩月侠, 董斌, 朱若晴, 等. 基于生态系统服务供需视角的安徽省生态安全格局构建[J]. 水土保持学报, 2025, 39(5): 322-334. Han Yuexia, Dong Bin, Zhu Ruoqing, et al. Construction of ecological security pattern in Anhui Province from the perspective of ecosystem service supply and demand[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2025, 39(5): 322-334.
[23] Abid M, Schefran J, Schneider U A, et al. Farmer perceptions of climate change, observed trends and adaptation of agriculture in Pakistan[J]. Environmental Management, 2019, 63(1): 110-123.
[24] Asfaw A, Simane B, Bantider A, et al. Determinants in the adoption of climate change adaptation strategies: evidence from rainfed-dependent smallholder farmers in north-central Ethiopia(Woleka Sub-basin)[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2019, 21(5): 2535-2565.
[25] Sahharon H, Idris K, Shafril H A M, et al. Adaptation towards climate change impacts among highland farmers in Malaysia [J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2020, 27(20): 25209-25219.
[26] Zhang C Y, Jin J J, Kuang F Y, et al. Farmers perceptions of climate change and adaptation behavior in Wushen Banner, China[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2020, 27: 26484-26494.
[27] 丁远鑫, 刘春兰, 裴厦, 等. 不同利益相关者对生态涵养区生态系统服务的认知分析[J]. 水土保持研究, 2023, 30(5): 453-461. Ding Yuanxin, Liu Chunlan, Pei Xia, et al. Cognitive analysis of ecosystem services in ecological conservation areas by different stakeholders[J]. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2023, 30(5): 453-461.
[28] Singh S. Farmers perception of climate change and adaptation decisions: a micro-level evidence from Bundelkhand Region, India[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2020, 116: 106475.
[29] 唐文跃, 彭浩云. 乡村振兴战略下农户生计研究回顾与展望[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2025, 41(3): 91-100. Tang Wenyue, Peng Haoyun. Review and prospect on farmers livelihood research under the rural revitalization strategy[J]. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2025, 41(3): 91-100.
[30] 贾瑞萱,史兴民,樊怡. 矿农复合区生态系统服务与损害对居民福祉的影响:以生计脆弱性为中介变量[J]. 生态学报, 2025, 45(13): 6481-6491. Jia Ruixuan, Shi Xingmin, Fan Yi. The impact of ecosystem services and damage in mining and agricultural complex areas on the well-being of residents: using livelihood vulnerability as a mediating variable[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2025, 45(13): 6481-6491.
[31] 唐文跃, 彭浩云. 乡村振兴战略下农户生计研究回顾与展望[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2025, 41(3): 91-100. Tang Wenyue, Peng Haoyun. Review and prospect on farmers livelihood research under the rural revitalization strategy[J]. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2025, 41(3): 91-100.
[32] 苏芳, 王坤, 刘钰. 生态系统服务对生计资本的影响研究——基于生态补偿政策的调节作用[J]. 资源开发与市场, 2023, 39(12): 1607-1618. Su Fang, Wang Kun, Liu Yu. Study on the impact of ecosystem services on livelihood capital: the regulating effect based on the ecological compensation policy[J]. Resource Development & Market, 2023, 39(12): 1607-1618.
[33] 邰秀军, 封峰. 数字金融对脱贫农户生计韧性的影响——基于乌兰察布市的调查分析[J/OL]. 干旱区地理. https://link.cnki.net/urlid/65.1103.X.20251107.0910.001. Tai Xiujun, Feng Feng. The impact of digital finance on livelihood resilience of poverty-alleviated households: a survey analysis based on Ulanqab City[J/OL]. Arid Land Geography. https://link.cnki.net/urlid/65.1103.X.20251107.0910.001.
[34] Jain P, Kaushik R. Discerning the influence of mining activity on the socio-economic determinants of health[J]. Discover Public Health, 2026, 23(1): 284.
[35] Chenariyan-Nekhei M, Sharafatmandrad M, Mashizi A K. Assessing the impact of medicinal plant(Ferula assa-foetida L.)habitat restoration on sustainable livelihoods and ecosystem health: implications for sustainable development goals in semi-arid pastoral systems of Iran[J]. Environmental and Sustainability Indicators, 2026, 30: 101198.
[36] 李青. 集体主义视阈下农村老年人的村庄公共事务参与研究:基于样本村的个案研究[D]. 武汉:华中农业大学, 2018: 51-58. Li Qing. The research of rural older peoples participation in village public affairs from the perspective of collectivism: based on a case study of the sample village[D]. Wuhan: Huazhong Agricultural University, 2018: 51-58.

多维度评价

Viewed

Full text

Abstract

Cited

Shared

Discussed