The basic method of extension evaluation and the "rule by three divisions" decision-making idea are integrated, and the sequential idea is introduced to construct an extension sequential three-way decision model and realize the purpose of dynamic decision-making and mining optimization indicators. Firstly, the data is standardized and the weight of attributes is calculated. The extension evaluation method is used as the evaluation criterion of the three-way decisions, new decision rules are defined, and the rationality of dividing the three domains is explained. Then, according to the attribute weight, the sequential evaluation attributes of multiple granularity are obtained, the multi-stage three-way decision is made, and the decision results are given. Finally, according to the decision-making results, the indicators that cause changes in sample division are analyzed, and optimization suggestions are put forward. The model was applied to the analysis of water resources carrying capacity, and compared with the entropy weight matter-element extension decision-making model. The results show that the evaluation results obtained by using the extension sequential three-way decision model and the entropy weight matter-element extension decision-making model are basically consistent, the accuracy rate reaches 84.55%, which verifies the validity and practicability of the model.