黄河流域山东段城镇化与生态系统服务空间交互关系

doi:10.6040/j.issn.1671-9352.0.2026.072

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 系统解析黄河下游城镇化进程与典型生态系统服务的时空交互关系,对落实黄河流域重大国家战略和构建流域生态安全格局具有重要的实践价值。本研究以黄河流域山东段27个县域为研究区,基于2000—2020年多源数据,运用InVEST模型、Pearson相关分析、耦合协调度模型与Tapio脱钩分析方法,系统揭示城镇化与生态系统服务的双向关联特征、静态协调水平与动态演化关系,并通过耦合协调度与脱钩效应的叠加分析,实现县域发展路径的类型划分。结果表明:(1)2000—2020年研究区城镇化综合指数由0.184升至0.282,形成以济南为核心、向外围梯度递减的空间格局,其中土地城镇化指数增幅比例最为突出。(2)研究期内的生态系统服务综合指数总体上升,其中产水量均值增幅42.94%,空间上呈“东北低、中南部高”分布;粮食产量均值累计增幅41.77%,保持“西南高东北低”的格局;碳储存总量下降4.76%,主要受耕地向建设用地转化驱动。(3)Pearson相关分析与耦合协调度分析表明,城镇化与生态系统服务整体呈负相关关系,土地城镇化与粮食产量、碳储存负相关系数年均-0.700左右;二者耦合协调度以基本协调为主,济南核心城区及部分城镇化快速扩张区域协调失衡问题持续加剧。(4)研究期内脱钩状态以强负脱钩、弱负脱钩等非理想状态为主,分区类型以“协调-负脱钩”占主导,多数县域虽维持在基本协调状态,但城镇化发展已导致明显的生态系统服务退化问题。未来应依据不同分区类型,对黄河流域山东段各区域分别实施差异化的空间管控与提质增效策略,以实现区域城镇发展与生态环境保护协调有序推进。

关键词: 城镇化, 生态系统服务, 耦合协调度, 脱钩模型, 黄河流域山东段

Abstract: Systematically analyzing the spatiotemporal interaction between urbanization and typical ecosystem services in the lower Yellow River is of great practical value for implementing the major national strategy of the Yellow River Basin and constructing the basins ecological security pattern. This study took 27 counties in the Shandong section of the Yellow River Basin as the study area. Based on multi-source data from 2000 to 2020, we employed the InVEST model, Pearson correlation analysis, coupling coordination degree model, and Tapio decoupling analysis method to systematically reveal the bidirectional association characteristics, static coordination levels, and dynamic evolutionary relationships between urbanization and ecosystem services. Through the superposition analysis of coupling coordination degree and decoupling effects, a typological classification of county-level development paths was achieved. The results indicated that:(1)From 2000 to 2020, the comprehensive urbanization index of the study area increased from 0.184 to 0.282, forming a spatial pattern with Jinan as the core and gradient decreasing outward, among which the land urbanization index showed the most prominent increase.(2)During the study period, the comprehensive ecosystem service index showed an overall upward trend. Specifically, the average water yield increased by 42.94%, exhibiting a spatial distribution of “low in the northeast and high in the central-south”; the average food production registered a cumulative increase of 41.77%, maintaining a pattern of “high in the southwest and low in the northeast”; total carbon storage decreased by 4.76%, primarily driven by the conversion of cultivated land to construction land.(3)Pearson correlation analysis and coupling coordination degree analysis showed that urbanization and ecosystem services had an overall negative correlation relationship. The average annual negative correlation coefficient between land urbanization and food production and carbon storage was approximately -0.700. The coupling coordination degree between the two was dominated by basic coordination, with the coordination imbalance in the core urban area of Jinan and some rapid urbanization expansion areas continuing to intensify.(4)During the study period, decoupling states were mainly non-ideal states such as strong negative decoupling and weak negative decoupling. The zoning type was dominated by “coordination-negative decoupling”, indicating that although most counties maintained a basic coordination state, urbanization development has led to obvious ecosystem service degradation. In the future, based on different zoning types, differentiated spatial control and quality improvement strategies should be implemented respectively in various regions of the Shandong section of the Yellow River Basin, to achieve orderly and coordinated advancement of regional urban development and ecological environmental protection.

Key words: urbanization, ecosystem services, coupling coordination degree, decoupling model, Shandong section of the Yellow River Basin

中图分类号:

F299

王文璇,范勇,王鑫,肖文杰. 黄河流域山东段城镇化与生态系统服务空间交互关系[J]. 《山东大学学报(理学版)》, 2026, 61(10): 72-86.

WANG Wenxuan, FAN Yong, WANG Xin, XIAO Wenjie. Urbanization and spatial interaction of ecosystem services in the Shandong section of the Yellow River Basin[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY(NATURAL SCIENCE), 2026, 61(10): 72-86.

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