考虑碳减排和双向公平关切的供应链复杂性研究

doi:10.6040/j.issn.1671-9352.0.2024.254

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在碳排放约束政策下,针对考虑制造商和零售商双向公平关切的双渠道供应链的复杂性问题,通过构建多周期动态博弈模型,从系统复杂性的视角,分析决策变量调整速度、公平关切程度和碳交易价格等因素对供应链决策和利润的影响,揭示经济系统的演化行为并对混沌系统实施控制。研究发现,过高的制造商和零售商决策变量调整速度会导致系统经倍周期分岔陷入混沌状态;处于主导地位的零售商有能力影响供应链系统的整体稳定性,跟随者地位的制造商则仅能影响系统局部范围的稳定性;不论是制造商还是零售商,导致系统混沌对自身不利,但对方会获益;公平关切和碳交易价格能够影响供应链成员的利润,但影响程度取决于系统所处的稳定状态;提出参数调整控制法对混沌系统实施有效控制,使其重返稳定状态。

关键词: 碳减排, 双向公平关切, 双渠道供应链, 系统复杂性, 混沌控制

Abstract: Under carbon emission constraints, this paper addresses the complexity of a dual-channel supply chain with bidirectional fairness concerns between manufacturers and retailers. A multi-period dynamic game model is developed to analyze the effects of decision-variable adjustment speed, fairness concern intensity, and carbon trading price on supply chain decision-making and profitability from a systemic complexity perspective. The research reveals the evolutionary behavior of the economic system and proposes chaos control strategies. Key findings include: Excessively high adjustment speeds in decision variables can induce a chaotic state in the system via period-doubling bifurcation. A dominant retailer influences the overall stability of the supply chain, whereas a follower manufacturer only affects local stability. System chaos harms the party causing it but benefits the other. Fairness concerns and carbon pricing impact member profits, though the extent depends on system stability. A parameter-based control method is proposed to effectively suppress chaos and restore stability.

Key words: carbon emission reduction, two-way fairness concerns, dual-channel supply chain, system complexity, chaos control

中图分类号:

F273

王晶,葛彤彤,司凤山. 考虑碳减排和双向公平关切的供应链复杂性研究[J]. 《山东大学学报(理学版)》, 2025, 60(6): 31-44.

WANG Jing, GE Tongtong, SI Fengshan. Research on complexity of supply chain considering carbon emission reduction and two-way fairness concerns[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY(NATURAL SCIENCE), 2025, 60(6): 31-44.

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